Increasingly in the US, the Relative Few Control the Relative Many.

One of the demonstrated demographic trends underway, both worldwide as well as in the United States, is the movement from rural areas to metropolitan districts. Several factors, mainly the availability and diversity of employment and cultural options, drive this seemingly inexorable change. At this rate, by the year 2040, 70% of Americans will live in fifteen states represented by 30 of the senators, and 30% of the population will live in 35 states with 70 senators This will have a highly leveraged influence on both the presidency and the Supreme Court. In plain language, under the Constitution, including the ability to redistrict districts of the House of Representatives and control of the Governorships, the country's majority population will be controlled, fully Constitutionally, by the country's minority.

On a more recent and real basis, the 2014 presidential election was determined to a large extent by rural states as well as states where significant voter blocks live outside large population centers. This separation of the country into bi-coastal "blue" states and "red" states in the Midwest, Rocky Mountains, and traditionally religious southern regions was highlighted with this election, with cultural and financial pressures from immigration and lack of blue collar employment opportunities. The longer term changes changes are underway now, and the Republican Party is proving to be more effective in realizing the power of this fundamental shift.

Cheers. Enjoy life, it's the only one we have.

Jim George

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Author: Reunion, and Contact Sport.

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2 Responses

  1. Excellent blog and great data to show how the demographics changing is affecting our representation. Democrats need to wake up to this. Thanks.
  2. "At this rate, by the year 2040, 70% of Americans will live in fifteen states represented by 30 of the senators, and 30% of the population will live in 35 states with 70 senators This will have a highly leveraged influence on both the presidency and the Supreme Court." Since this is a prediction the phrase "will have a highly...", should read, " this would" The word will transforms the prediction to a matter of fact. A huge assumption and not one that is decision worthy. We can't predict tomorrow's weather yet we are confident in demographic changes 22 years hence? There is the matter of states rights, representation being one of them. If you let population drive decisions solely, New York and California will dictate things. that would be 2 states dictating the future of 48 states. That's not the way our government was designed.We have the House of Representatives to handle the population side of things. There is not perfect design, but ours is probably the best. Since this is a prediction the phrase "will have a highly...", should read, " this would" The word will transforms the prediction to a matter of fact. Go have a look at predictions for 2018 made in 1996 and see how many are correct. I remember the high inflation during the Carter years, there were predictions that "at this rate" a loaf of bread will cost $20 by the turn of the century. We all know that didn't happen. I guess my point is, let's debate what is not what might be. My 2 cents. Mike

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